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- Premier League MD23: Lucky winners and unlucky losers
Premier League MD23: Lucky winners and unlucky losers
Arsenal kept Liverpool in their sight with a win in the Premier League but which teams were lucky, and which ones unfortunate, this weekend?
The Premier League threw up some cracking games on matchday 23, with effects at both ends of the table.
Liverpool pulled six points clear at the top after a 4-1 thumping of struggling Ipswich Town, while Arsenal edged to a 1-0 victory over Wolves, despite a controversial red card that had everybody talking.
Manchester City leapfrogged Chelsea, going fourth, after coming from behind to beat them 3-1 on Saturday, while Nottingham Forest stayed third but were thrashed 5-0 by European-chasing Bournemouth.
Everton also gained more breathing space as they moved further clear of the relegation zone, beating Brighton 1-0 to mark David Moyes' 700th Premier League match with a win.
The biggest shock, however, saw Leicester City move out of the relegation zone after ending their seven-match losing streak in the Premier League with a 2-1 win over Tottenham, with the pressure ramping up on Ange Postecoglou.
But which teams were lucky to get the points, and who can consider themselves unfortunate? Here, we use Opta data to find out.
Lucky winners: Manchester United
Ruben Amorim made a splash after their defeat to Brighton in the Premier League, claiming they were "the worst team maybe in the history of Manchester United".
After bouncing back with a win over Rangers in the Europa League on Thursday, United followed that up by beating Fulham 1-0 at Craven Cottage thanks to Lisandro Martinez's long-range deflected strike.
Despite getting three points on the board that moved them up to 12th, United's recent struggles in front of goal almost came back to haunt them once more, and they have a stroke of luck to thank for the win.
They managed a measly 0.25 expected goals (xG) total on Sunday, the lowest of any team over the weekend, and scored from their only attempt on target (four shots overall), with Bernd Leno unable to keep it out despite getting a hand on it.
Fulham, by contrast, finished with 0.67 xG from their nine shots and also saw a shot blocked on the line by substitute Toby Collyer, with goal-line technology needed to make sure it had not fully crossed.
United had to wait until 41:57 for their first shot in this game (Matthijs de Ligt), their joint longest wait for an attempt on goal in a Premier League match this season (also 41:57 vs Arsenal in December), so while they did get a much-needed victory, there are still issues to address for Amorim.
Unlucky losers: Wolves
The result between Arsenal and Wolves has almost played second-fiddle to the ongoing debate over Myles Lewis-Skelly's 43rd-minute red card, but in the end, it was Arsenal who snatched a win when both teams went down to 10 men.
Riccardo Calafioro grabbed the winner 16 minutes from time, just four minutes after Joao Gomes was sent off, subjecting Vitor Pereira's men to a fourth straight league defeat. And coupled with Leicester’s win, it also saw them drop into the bottom three.
There was little to call between the two sides based on the metrics, as Wolves managed 0.74 xG to Arsenal's 1.0 and both teams had nine shots, with the hosts having one more effort on target than the Gunners.
All of those efforts on target came after the break when they had a man advantage, but they could not use it as they struggled to create any chances of real note, according to their 0.29 xG in the second half.
Pereira will know this was a chance missed, though it maybe should not have come as a surprise as Arsenal are the only team in Premier League history to have won more games (38) than they have lost (35) when having a player sent off.
Lucky winners: Aston Villa
For the second week in a row, Aston Villa were held to a draw, and in these circumstances, they may have been fortuitous to leave with any points at all.
Villa were brilliant in the first half of their 1-1 draw with West Ham on Sunday, creating 0.56 xG before the break as they had eight shots, three on target, while Emiliano Martinez was not tested once.
However, Jacob Ramsey's early opener was cancelled out by Emerson in the 70th minute as a much-improved West Ham rallied, with Graham Potter's side also denied a winner by the offside flag in second-half stoppage time.
In setting up Ramsey's strike in the eighth minute, Ollie Watkins became just the second Villa player to be directly involved in 100+ Premier League goals (61 goals, 39 assists), along with Gabriel Agbonlahor, though he reached it in 108 fewer appearances.
Villa were outplayed in the second half, giving up chances worth 0.98 xG, including four 'big' chances (defined as an opportunity from which a player would be expected to score).
Unai Emery's side have now failed to win four of the 11 Premier League games they have scored first in this season (W7 D2 L2). That is more than they did in the 19 games they opened the scoring in last term (W16 D2 L1), while it also saw them lose ground on some of the other teams chasing Europe.